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49%
Players from any other league outscore PL players in the tournament
45%
Unofficial drone is reported flying over a stadium
5%
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei attending a match
61%
Player blames an injury on poor stadium grass
Activity
Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women? [V3]
43%
Anna van der Breggen
44%
Demi Vollering
13%
Other
JesseboughtṀ182Demi VolleringYES
44%7m
Activity
Major League Baseball Games (LIVE)
99%
Thursday 6/4, 1:35 PM: BAL Orioles WIN at BOS Red Sox
99%
Thursday 6/4, 2:10 PM: SF Giants WIN at MIL Brewers
99%
Thursday 6/4, 7:15 PM: TOR Blue Jays WIN at ATL Braves
99%
Thursday 6/4, 8:10 PM: PIT Pirates WIN at HOU Astros
94%
Thursday 6/4, 7:40 PM: KC Royals WIN at MIN Twins
Nick MateraboughtṀ233Thursday 6/4, 7:40 PM: KC Royals WIN at MIN Twins NO
72%�?/span>1%8m
Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?
33%
Surprise! Washington, DC again!
25%
New York
12%
There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026
7%
Boston
6%
Montreal
JohnofCharlestonboughtṀ150Surprise! Washington, DC again!YES
6%�?/span>37%8m
Activity
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
99%
Aberdeen South [Stephen Flynn]
99%
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
37%
Blackley and Middleton South [Graham Stringer]
8%
Burnley [Oliver Ryan]
71%
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich [Patrick Spencer]
anglospherepoliticsguysoldṀ386Makerfield [Josh Simons]YES
99%�?/span>97%8m
JohnofCharlestonboughtṀ150YES
17%�?/span>35%10m
Elizacommented10m

The only womens cyclist I would give better than 46% to in tomorrow's stage is Lorena Wiebes, but SHE. IS. NOT. HERE.

I'm NOT ON BOARD with this Balsamo Hype Train.

Elizareplied10m

@Eliza [Bets 50 mana on No]

Activity
New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
55%
National Party
2%
Green Party
2%
ACT New Zealand
2%
Te Pati Maori
3%
New Zealand First Party
Elizacommented12m

@Jack1 I'm taking a large No stake in Other because I don't expect the world to turn upside-down.

What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2026 Income Statement?
52%
> $0
52%
> -$1 billion
50%
> -$5 billion
50%
> -$10 billion
50%
> -$15 billion
Jackcommented1h

@JaundicedBaboon

When creating set markets, if the mana subsidy per question is 100 or more, you’ll get 20 mana trader bonus,

I added 150 mana to the market so there is now 800 (100x 8 questions)

As previously it was 650 mana which meant it would have only given you 6 mana per trader

Jaundiced Baboonreplied16m

@Jack1 good to know. Thanks for helping out! :)

Created35m
Created42m
Activity
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
84%
SpaceX
10%
Anthropic
3%
OpenAi
3%
Other
Created44m